Does Big Data Have the Flu?

These days, when people start feeling a fever and a sore throat coming on, often times their first move isn’t to the med­i­cine cab­inet. Instead, it’s to a com­puter or smart­phone to Google their symptoms.

These queries, which make up only a tiny frac­tion of the more than 7 bil­lion total queries the search engine han­dles each day, are all stored by Google. The com­pany uses this data for a variety of rea­sons; it can help Google improve its search results for users—which also boosts the company’s bottom line—and can also ben­efit the pop­u­la­tion as a whole in other ways.

One example of the latter is Google Flu Trends, a sta­tis­tical model devel­oped by engi­neers at Google.org—the company’s foun­da­tional arm—in an effort to “now-​​cast” what’s hap­pening with the flu on any given day.

But research has shown that GFT often misses its target. These results led North­eastern Uni­ver­sity net­work sci­en­tists and their col­leagues to take a closer look at how Big Data should be used to advance sci­en­tific research. Their report was pub­lished online Thursday in the journal Sci­ence.

“Big Data have enor­mous sci­en­tific pos­si­bil­i­ties,” said North­eastern pro­fessor David Lazer. “But we have to be aware that most Big Data aren’t designed for sci­en­tific pur­poses.” Fully achieving Big Data’s enthu­si­as­ti­cally lauded poten­tial, he added, requires a syn­thesis of both com­puter sci­ence approaches to data as well as tra­di­tional approaches from the social sciences.

The paper was co-​​authored by Lazer, who holds joint appoint­ments in the Depart­ment of Polit­ical Sci­ence and the Col­lege of Com­puter and Infor­ma­tion Sci­enceAlessandro Vespig­nani, the Stern­berg Family Dis­tin­guished Uni­ver­sity Pro­fessor of Physics at North­eastern who has joint appoint­ments in the Col­lege of Sci­enceBouvé Col­lege of Health Sci­ences, and the Col­lege of Com­puter and Infor­ma­tion Sci­ence; North­eastern vis­iting research pro­fessor of polit­ical sci­ence Ryan Kennedy; and Gary King, a pro­fessor in the Har­vard Uni­ver­sity Depart­ment of Government.

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Physics